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Live instruments
Website Hawkes analysis
Each visit temporarily raises the chance of the next one. Shown against a Poisson process at the same long-run average rate, which has no memory.
Hawkes (self-exciting)
Poisson (memoryless)
Baseline μ0.150/s
Excitation α0.250
Decay β0.400/s
Branching ratio0.63
Hawkes events0
Poisson events0
The branching ratio α/β measures how much traffic is self-generated momentum versus fresh discovery.
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Active hazards
Live Orange/Red-alert events worldwide from GDACS (Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System, a UN/EU service).
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